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Wednesday, 02 October 2019, 12:00 CET





LORENZO trajectory, 02.10., 09 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
Probability of Tropical-Storm-Force-Winds and
their most likely time of arrival, 02.10., 09 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
10m wind (forecast), 02.10., 06 UTC
Image Credit: Wetterzentrale
10m wind (forecast), 03.10., 21 UTC
Image Credit: Wetterzentrale

Hurricane LORENZO
Azores

Issued: Wednesday, 02 October 2019, 12:00 CET

LORENZO has reached the Azores and provides meand winds up to 150 kph and swell up to 20 m. Hurricane-force winds very likely at the west coast of Ireland on Thursday.
30 Sep -02 Oct 2019



Hurricane LORENZO is currently located about 300 km northeast of Flores, the most western Azores Island. Mean winds are still reaching up to 150 kph, gusts even up to 190 kph. LORENZOs core pressure ist still 960 hPa. The system moves with a very high displacement speed of 69 kph to the Northeast.

The system continues to weaken only slowly, but is expanding its geometrical size rapidly. Averaged over all four quadrants, LORENZO has a hurricane-force wind radius of 200 km, making it the most expansive Atlantic hurricane since LUIS in 1995.

Measured by wind forces, LORENZO remains a hurricane (mean wind greater than 64 kt) until the late evening hours of 03 September. At this time it will be located about 54 degrees north latitude and just off the west coast of Ireland.

On Thursday, the west coast of Ireland is likely to experience wind speeds of around 95 kph and peak gusts of up to 140 kph. There are also waves of up to 15 m height and total precipitation of up to 50 mm in Northern Ireland and Scotland.


Tuesday, 01 October 2019, 10:45 CET





LORENZO trajectory, 01.10., 03 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
Satellite image (IR), 01.10., 03 UTC
Image Credit: GOES Image Viewer
Probability of Tropical-Storm-Force-Winds and
their most likely time of arrival, 01.10., 03 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
10m wind (forecast), 02.10., 06 UTC
Image Credit: Wetterzentrale

Hurricane LORENZO
Azores

Issued: Tuesday, 01 October 2019, 10:45 CET

Hurricane LORENZO has maintained its intensity and picked up speed heading towards the azores. Winds up to 155 kph, precipitation up to 200 mm/12h and waves up to 20 m are to be expected.
30 Sep -02 Oct 2019



Hurricane LORENZO is currently located about 1000 km southwest of Flores, the most western Azores Island. The maximum wind speeds are 165 kph, in gusts up to 205 kph. LORENZOs core pressure is 956 hPa. The system is currently moving at a high displacement speed of 35 kph in a northeasterly direction.

According to current calculations, the hurricane will pass nearly 100 km west of Flores on Wednesday at 06 UTC. The westernmost island of the Azores is therefore within the radius of the maximum wind speeds. Until this date the system will not weaken significantly. Wind speeds of 160 kph must be expected, in gusts up to 200 kph. In addition, waves of 15 m and occasionally up to 20 m can be expected.

The strongest precipitation and thunderstorms are limited to the northwestern quadrant of the hurricane. Nevertheless, in Flores rainfall of up to 200 mm can be expected in 12 hours.

LORENZO is expected to remain a hurricane until Thursday, 03 October. It is likely that he will pass 45 degrees north as a hurricane.


Monday, 30 September 2019, 18:00 CET





LORENZO trajectory, 30.09., 15 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
Satellite image (visible), 30.09., 15 UTC
Image Credit: GOES Image Viewer
Probability of Tropical-Storm-Force-Winds and
their most likely time of arrival, 30.09., 15 UTC
Image Credit: National Hurricane Center
10m wind (forecast), 02.10., 06 UTC
Image Credit: Wetterzentrale

Hurricane LORENZO
Azores

Issued: Monday, 30 September 2019, 18:00 CET

Category 2 Hurricane LORENZO is heading towards the Azores. On Wednesday, wind speeds of 160 kph and precipitation of up to 200 mm/12h are expected.
30 Sep -02 Oct 2019



Hurricane LORENZO developed from an organised convection on 24 September. In recent days, it has strengthened up to category 5, which it reached on September 28. It became the most easterly Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic since the beginning of weather recording. LORENZO reached the highest hurricane strength at 45°W, the previous record holder was Hurricane Hugo (1989) with 54.6°W.

Hurricane LORENZO is currently located about 1650 km west southwest of the Azores. The maximum wind speeds are 165 kph, in gusts up to 205 kph. It is now classified as category 2 hurricane. The system moves at a speed of 24 kph in a north-northeast direction. The core pressure is 962 hPa. According to current forecasts, LORENZO is expected to pass near Flores, the westernmost Azores island, in the morning of 03 September. Especially in the western islands of the Azores wind speeds of up to 135 kph have to be expected. In Gusts, peaks of up to 160 kph are possible. In addition, precipitation can reach up to 200 mm/12h. Floods and landslides are to be expected.

LORENZO will then move further north with high displacement speed and impact the east coast of Ireland as an extratropic storm low.


Issued: September 30, 2019, 18:00 CET
FS

Issued: October 01, 2019, 10:45 CET
FS

Issued: October 02, 2019, 12:00 CET
FS

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