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Sunday, March 15, 2026, 17:00 UTC





500 hPa geopotential and 500 hPa geopotential
anomaly,
over Northern America,
17.03 12 UTC
Source: wxcharts
Accumulated precipitation
over the Northeastern US,
until 17.03 06 UTC,
Source: wxcharts
2 m temperature anomaly over Northern America,
19.03 21 UTC
Source: wxcharts
2 m maximum temperature
across the Desert Southwest,
19.03 21 UTC,
Source: wxcharts


Heat wave, Blizzard
Mountain West, Great Lakes

Issued: Sunday, March 15, 2026, 17:00 UTC

An unprecedented early-spring heat wave is forecast to impact the US West Coast in the coming week. Temperatures will be running way above average. Although it is mid-March, monthly temperature records for April may be broken in the Southern Deserts. Concurrently, a major snowstorm is expected to impact Minnesota and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.

15.03.2026


A highly distorted synoptic pattern has developed across the US. From west to east, there is an unusually strong trough located north of Hawaii, bringing torrential rains to the island chain. Over the Eastern Pacific, an enormous ridge has developed, which is slowly drifting eastwards in the coming days, impacting the US West Coast. Further east, a large trough has plunged southwards east of the Rocky Mountains. Ahead of this trough, moist air masses are advected far northwards into the Northern Great Plains and Great Lakes area. Here, the moist air masses meet a cold air mass residing across the area. At the boundary, heavy precipitation is expected. Due to the cold temperatures, most of the precipitation will fall as snow. Only in the southern parts of the air mass boundary are significant threats to icing present. Stretching from the Twin Cities into the Upper Peninsula in Michigan, widespread fresh snow accumulations of more than 30 cm are possible. Near Marquette, MI, fresh snow accumulations of more than 60 cm with the potential for snow totals of up to 100 cm in extreme cases. Together with high winds, blizzard conditions will persist until Tuesday, March 17, 2026.

By Monday, March 16, 2026, the ridge over the Eastern Pacific will dominate the weather across the Mountain West. Temperatures are forecast to run well above-average until at least next Sunday, March 22, 2026. Especially in the Desert Southwest, daytime maximum temperature will rise to values more akin to May or early Summer. Countless monthly temperatures will likely be shattered. Depending on the exact severity of the heat wave mid next week, even monthly temperature records for April will be surpassed at selected Desert locations. At lower elevations of the Desert Southwest, maximum temperatures of more than 40 °C are possible. Metropolitan areas such as Phoenix, AZ, will likely see their earliest 40+ °C day on record.


Sunday, March 15, 2026, 17:00 UTC
KG


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